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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Schalke

Augsburg
1 - 1
Schalke

Maier (51')
Vargas (62'), Gikiewicz (78'), Cardona (90+2'), Gouweleeuw (90+2')
Demirovic (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bulter (90+3' pen.)
Balanta (5'), Kral (12'), Jenz (63'), Frey (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 5-3 Augsburg
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Schalke 04

 The form book makes this a difficult match to call, with Augsburg winning each of their last four home matches, but Schalke generating an impressive unbeaten run in recent weeks. As such, both managers may not be too disappointed with avoiding defeat, especially as that would allow the hosts to keep a healthy distance between themselves and the relegation zone. We can envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawSchalke 04
35.29% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 25.76% (0.041 0.04) 38.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.18 -0.18)49.19% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (-0.162 -0.16)71.25% (0.155 0.16)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)26.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)62.19% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)24.83% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.203 -0.2)59.41% (0.195 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.29%
    Schalke 04 38.95%
    Draw 25.75%
AugsburgDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.95%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Schalke

Augsburg
39.2%
Draw
27.5%
Schalke 04
33.3%
51
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 4.30pm
Schalke
2-3
Augsburg
Terodde (33'), Krauss (63')
Demirovic (9', 21'), Hahn (77')
Bauer (30')
Apr 11, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
1-0
Augsburg
Serdar (4')

Gouweleeuw (35'), Framberger (74')
Dec 13, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-2
Schalke
Serdar (32' og.), Richter (90+3')
Niederlechner (45+4'), Khedira (77')
Niederlechner (53')
Raman (52'), Boujellab (61')
Sane (45+5'), Kabak (64'), Fahrmann (81'), Skrzybski (90')
May 24, 2020 12.30pm
Schalke
0-3
Augsburg
Nov 3, 2019 5pm
Augsburg
2-3
Schalke
Baier (38'), Finnbogason (60' pen.)
Baier (70'), Khedira (90'), Vargas (94')
Lichtsteiner (45' og.), Kabak (71'), Harit (82')
Caligiuri (23'), Mascarell (35'), McKennie (57'), Schopf (93'), Nubel (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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