Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
2 - 0
Augsburg

Richter (61'), Lukebakio (70')
Richter (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gumny (45+1'), Veiga (60'), Vargas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Augsburg

Given that Augsburg have lost five of their last six away games, Hertha Berlin look set to avoid defeat this weekend, although the struggling hosts will likely have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Augsburg
47.14% ( -0.86)	24.81% ( 0.22)	28.06% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 55.06% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.3% (

-0.55)

47.7% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11% (

-0.51)

69.9% (

0.51)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

-0.58)

20.29% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

-0.94)

52.65% (

0.94)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

0.19)

30.93% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.23)

67.23% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 47.14%

Augsburg 28.06%

Draw 24.8%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 47.14%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.06%