We said: Union Berlin 2-0 Schalke 04
Anything but a win for Union Berlin against the side bottom of the table would be devastating to their title hopes, and they must ensure they do not have one eye on their second leg with Ajax coming up.
Despite three clean sheets on the spin, Schalke may find it much tougher to shut out one of the most in-form sides in Europe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.