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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')
Pavard (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Thorsby (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 Union Berlin

Given that Bayern Munich have struggled to turn draws into wins this season, we can see a resilient Union Berlin outfit leaving the Allianz Arena with a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
76.77% (-0.101 -0.1) 14.65% (0.058 0.06) 8.59% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-0.137 -0.14)35.2% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (-0.152 -0.15)57.21% (0.152 0.15)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)7.54% (0.0511 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.97% (-0.136 -0.14)27.03% (0.134 0.13)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.88%47.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42%82.58%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 76.76%
    Union Berlin 8.59%
    Draw 14.65%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 76.76%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.025 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.65%
0-1 @ 2.67% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 8.59%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
66.7%
Draw
18.4%
Union Berlin
14.9%
141
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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