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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Bayern

Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wiesbaden 2-3 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern Munich

Buoyed by last month's DFL-Supercup triumph, RB Leipzig will be confident of picking up another positive result against Bayern Munich, although the hosts will struggle to claim all three points as the free-scoring Bavarians aim to make amends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
28.74% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.91% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.127 -0.13)40.71% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (-0.13 -0.13)63.09% (0.129 0.13)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.142 -0.14)26.86% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.188 -0.19)62.17% (0.187 0.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.53% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 28.74%
    Bayern Munich 47.91%
    Draw 23.34%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 47.91%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
20.0%
Draw
35.7%
Bayern Munich
44.3%
70
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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