Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.65%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
9.81% (![]() | 15.67% (![]() | 74.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.9% (![]() | 36.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.79% (![]() | 58.2% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.84% (![]() | 45.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% (![]() | 81.06% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.76% (![]() | 8.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.21% (![]() | 28.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 2.96% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.81% | 1-1 @ 7.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.67% | 0-2 @ 11.59% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 74.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |