Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Portimonense1 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Salzburg
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Portimonense 1-4 Benfica
Having stunned Vitoria last time out, Portimonense will back themselves to take something from a Benfica side that have not always been convincing this season. However, we feel that the 2022-23 title winners will be motivated to let out some frustration after their disappointment in the Champions League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.65%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
9.81% ( -0.7) | 15.67% ( -0.35) | 74.51% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
