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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto

Benfica
1 - 0
Porto

di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-3 Benfica
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-1 Porto

 We certainly expect a tight encounter at the Estadio da Luz on Friday, with little to split the two teams who both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch. Although the visitors are a point better off at this stage, they are yet to put a statement victory on the board, while their hosts head in with more momentum on the back of five consecutive league wins, and we fancy As Aguias to go top on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
41.58% (0.393 0.39) 24.29% (-0.087 -0.09) 34.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.87% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.341 0.34)42.73% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.339 0.34)65.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.328 0.33)20.69% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.51300000000001 0.51)53.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 41.58%
    Porto 34.12%
    Draw 24.29%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
71.4%
Draw
13.0%
Porto
15.6%
77
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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