Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 87.51%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 4-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.