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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2025 at 12pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Swansea logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Swansea

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-0 Swansea City

It has been a rough start to 2025 for Swansea, who have lost all but one of their seven matches across all competitions. While the Swans will be looking to stop the rot, they are in for a tough 90 minutes at Ashton Gate, where Bristol City have picked up 16 points from a possible 18 in the league. That said, we predict that the Robins will maintain their impressive run of results in front of their home supporters and come away with the desired results this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
52.12% (0.263 0.26) 25.72% (0.222 0.22) 22.16% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-1.183 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-1.261 -1.26)55.94% (1.26 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-1.036 -1.04)77.04% (1.034 1.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.405 -0.41)21.52% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.623 -0.62)54.57% (0.622 0.62)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-1.191 -1.19)40.53% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-1.094 -1.09)77.13% (1.094 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 52.11%
    Swansea City 22.16%
    Draw 25.72%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.415 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.16%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Swansea City
3.6%
56
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swansea
1-1
Bristol City
Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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