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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
50.42% ( 0.83) | 26.5% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% ( -0.45) | 57.89% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% ( -0.36) | 78.61% ( 0.35) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( 0.18) | 23.07% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( 0.26) | 56.91% ( -0.26) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% ( -1) | 40.73% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( -0.91) | 77.31% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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