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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Reading logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Reading

Sawyers (90+1')
McGuinness (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dann (27'), N'Diaye (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-0 Reading

There have generally been a lack of goals at the Cardiff City Stadium this season, and we expect that to continue here. Nevertheless, now that the Bluebirds have finally ended their losing streak, the home side could make it two wins in three days, prevailing with a clean sheet to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawReading
50.42% (0.826 0.83) 26.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.08% (-0.781 -0.78)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.449 -0.45)57.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.357 -0.36)78.61% (0.35499999999999 0.35)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.17700000000001 0.18)23.07% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.262 0.26)56.91% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-1 -1)40.73% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.911 -0.91)77.31% (0.90899999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.42%
    Reading 23.08%
    Draw 26.49%
Cardiff CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Reading

Cardiff City
65.4%
Draw
13.1%
Reading
21.5%
107
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Reading
2-1
Cardiff
Long (27' pen.), Ince (63')
Hoilett (20'), Abretti (86'), Yiadom (90')
O'Dowda (4')
Nelson (25'), Collins (65'), Harris (90')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Reading
1-2
Cardiff
Joao (7')
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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