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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
34.66% ( 0.27) | 27.78% ( 0.18) | 37.56% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( -0.64) | 57.47% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% ( -0.51) | 78.27% ( 0.51) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.67% ( -0.15) | 31.33% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% ( -0.17) | 67.69% ( 0.17) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( -0.57) | 29.52% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -0.7) | 65.53% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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