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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
34.66% (![]() | 27.78% (![]() | 37.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% (![]() | 57.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% (![]() | 78.27% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.67% (![]() | 31.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% (![]() | 67.69% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% (![]() | 29.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% (![]() | 65.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |