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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Kipre (9')
Nkounkou (40'), Wintle (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Sema (77'), Gaspar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Watford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Watford

 Hudson and Cardiff will be on a high after getting back on track at the weekend. Nevertheless, there can be no doubting that Watford possess the superior quality in the final third, something which we feel will lead to the Hornets edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
34.66% (0.268 0.27) 27.78% (0.179 0.18) 37.56% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.641 -0.64)57.47% (0.642 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.511 -0.51)78.27% (0.512 0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.146 -0.15)31.33% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.171 -0.17)67.69% (0.173 0.17)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.574 -0.57)29.52% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.705 -0.7)65.53% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.66%
    Watford 37.56%
    Draw 27.77%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
18.0%
Draw
13.5%
Watford
68.5%
89
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
> Match Report
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
> Match Report
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
> Match Report
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Watford
Mason (18', 80')
Deeney (31')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730
> Championship Full Table


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