Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
26.25% ( 0.17)	24.5% ( -0.05)	49.24% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.57% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

0.37)

47.66% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

0.34)

69.85% (

-0.34)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.33)

32.3% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.37)

68.8% (

-0.37)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.09)

19.4% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

0.16)

51.21% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Millwall 26.25%

Middlesbrough 49.24%

Draw 24.5%

Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.25%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.24%