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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.25% ( 0.17) | 24.5% ( -0.05) | 49.24% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( 0.37) | 47.66% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( 0.34) | 69.85% ( -0.34) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( 0.33) | 32.3% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( 0.37) | 68.8% ( -0.37) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.09) | 19.4% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( 0.16) | 51.21% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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