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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sheffield United win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 34.27% and a draw has a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.81%).
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield United |
34.27% ( -2.03) | 26.98% ( -0.13) | 38.74% ( 2.16) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.56% ( 0.38) | 54.44% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( 0.32) | 75.81% ( -0.31) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.94% ( -1.08) | 30.06% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -1.31) | 66.19% ( 1.32) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( 1.44) | 27.37% ( -1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% ( 1.83) | 62.83% ( -1.83) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield United |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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