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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol City

Sainz (58')
Mehmeti (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roberts (55')
Williams (90+2'), McLean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Bristol City

Despite the relentlessness of Norwich at Carrow Road, we expect Bristol City to push them all the way here. However, that may still not be enough, and the Canaries could edge this fixture in the final quarter of the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.26% (0.47 0.47) 20.3% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-2.07 -2.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-2.403 -2.4)52.44% (2.4 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-2.099 -2.1)74.11% (2.098 2.1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.902 -0.9)18.8% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-1.525 -1.53)50.23% (1.523 1.52)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-1.868 -1.87)40.44% (1.865 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-1.732 -1.73)77.05% (1.73 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.42%
    Bristol City 20.3%
    Draw 24.26%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.82 0.82)
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.698 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.305 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Bristol City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-2
Norwich
Knight (34')
Tanner (72')
Tanner (59' og.), Idah (90+5')
Duffy (26')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich
Placheta (49')
Giannoulis (79'), Forshaw (86'), Barnes (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
2-0
Bristol City
Hugill (37', 76')
Cantwell (51')

Palmer (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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