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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

Middlesbrough will be hoping their positive momentum can be carried over from before the international break, and Carrick's men should be confident of recording a sixth straight win in all competitions. Armed with a new manager and fresh ideas, Birmingham's performance at the Riverside Stadium will be under intense scrutiny, and we believe that Rooney will earn a respectable point from his first match in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
54.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)47.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.48% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.33%
    Birmingham City 22.13%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Birmingham City
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Middlesbrough
0-1
Birmingham

Dijksteel (83')
Hogan (26')
Toral (15'), Sunjic (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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