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Championship header 2

Championship
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

 Middlesbrough will be hoping their positive momentum can be carried over from before the international break, and Carrick's men should be confident of recording a sixth straight win in all competitions. Armed with a new manager and fresh ideas, Birmingham's performance at the Riverside Stadium will be under intense scrutiny, and we believe that Rooney will earn a respectable point from his first match in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
54.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)47.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.48% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.33%
    Birmingham City 22.13%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Birmingham City
0.0%
17
Head to Head
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Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham
Akpom (23')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Middlesbrough
0-1
Birmingham

Dijksteel (83')
Hogan (26')
Toral (15'), Sunjic (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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