We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Huddersfield Town
Neither side has impressed in the final third this season, both averaging around a goal per game, so a single strike could separate them on Tuesday. Despite their injury crisis, Birmingham City can capitalise on fine home form to pick up an overdue victory; consigning Darren Moore to his first loss as Huddersfield manager.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Huddersfield Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.