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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.68% ( 0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.04) | 33.45% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.4% ( -0.21) | 45.59% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.08% ( -0.2) | 67.92% ( 0.2) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% ( -0.04) | 21.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% ( -0.06) | 55.1% ( 0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% ( -0.19) | 26.27% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.62% ( -0.26) | 61.38% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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