MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:47:25| >> :60:6:6:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 19, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
Costa Rica national football team

Panama
2 - 2
Costa Rica

Blackman (14'), Luis Rodriguez (45+3')
Guerrero (90+2')
Escobar (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bran (24'), Martinez (73')
Calvo (9'), Mitchell (56'), Campbell (80'), Ugalde (78'), Campbell (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 2-0 Costa Rica (Panama advance 3-0 on aggregate)

The Panamanians seem to have a psychological advantage over Costa Rica at the moment, while Los Ticos are not ideally suited to come from behind, all of which we believe will lead to another semi-final appearance for Los Canaleros. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawCosta Rica
53.81% (-0.314 -0.31) 25.11% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 21.07% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.03% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (0.186 0.19)54.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (0.154 0.15)76.08% (-0.152 -0.15)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)20.34% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)52.74% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.403 0.4)40.96% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.358 0.36)77.52% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Panama 53.8%
    Costa Rica 21.07%
    Draw 25.11%
PanamaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.07%

How you voted: Panama vs Costa Rica

Panama
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Costa Rica
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2024 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Costa Rica
0-1
Panama

Mitchell (18')
Fajardo (66' pen.)
Fajardo (18'), Carrasquilla (41'), Mosquera (79'), Cordoba (85')
Nov 21, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Panama
3-1
Costa Rica
Fajardo (20'), Luis Rodriguez (23'), Joel Barcenas (43' pen.)
Fajardo (2'), Escobar (54')
Calvo (51')
Calvo (79')
Nov 17, 2023 3am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Costa Rica
0-3
Panama

Campbell (10'), Arboine (43'), Aguilera (59'), Pablo Vargas (83'), Bran (86')
Murillo (4'), Fajardo (29'), Waterman Ruiz (60')
Godoy (59')
Jun 27, 2023 2am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
1-2
Panama
Suarez (90+1')
Alcocer (15'), Azofeifa (84')
Fajardo (23'), Joel Barcenas (68')
Godoy (44')
Mar 29, 2023 3am
rhs 2.0
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