MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:33:21| >> :60:32:32:
Costa Rica national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2024 at 2am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Paraguay national football team

Costa Rica
2 - 1
Paraguay

Calvo (3'), Alcocer (7')
Alcocer (16'), Galo (82'), Contreras (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sosa (55')
Alderete (28'), Almiron (34'), Sosa (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Costa Rica and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica
Friday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa America

Paraguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Costa Rica 0-0 Paraguay

 Both sides have played conservatively throughout this tournament because they have little creativity or quality to break down the other. The Costa Ricans still have something to play for, but we do not believe they have the resources to find a way through Paraguay in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawParaguay
33.56% (1.475 1.47) 26.18% (0.459 0.46) 40.26% (-1.939 -1.94)
Both teams to score 53.22% (-1.055 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-1.563 -1.56)51.28% (1.556 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-1.384 -1.38)73.11% (1.379 1.38)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.179 0.18)28.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.226 0.23)64.85% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-1.682 -1.68)25.08% (1.677 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (-2.383 -2.38)59.77% (2.378 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 33.56%
    Paraguay 40.25%
    Draw 26.17%
Costa RicaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 9% (0.591 0.59)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.186 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.56%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.443 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Paraguay

Costa Rica
39.8%
Draw
31.4%
Paraguay
28.8%
191
rhs 2.0
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