Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Nacional0 - 2Palestino
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Club Nacional and Palestino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-3 Nacional
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Palestino |
40.45% ( 0.02) | 26.96% ( -0) | 32.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
