Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Rosario4 - 1Caracas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-2 Rosario
Saturday, May 11 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 11 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Penarol
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
We said: Rosario Central 2-0 Caracas
This is the second time in the last three seasons that Caracas have featured in the group stage of this tournament, yet they still look indecisive and intimidated by some of the bigger clubs from Brazil and Argentina. While Rosario have not been all that clinical so far in this competition, they can expect to have plenty of chances against a side that have shown to be relatively passive so far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
Result | ||
Rosario Central | Draw | Caracas |
54.7% (![]() | 24.95% (![]() | 20.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.04% (![]() | 54.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.76% (![]() | 76.23% (![]() |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% (![]() | 20.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.71% (![]() | 52.29% (![]() |
Caracas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% (![]() | 41.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% (![]() | 78.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rosario Central 54.69%
Caracas 20.35%
Draw 24.94%
Rosario Central | Draw | Caracas |
1-0 @ 13.48% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.82% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.69% | 1-1 @ 11.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.35% |
How you voted: Rosario vs Caracas
Rosario Central
100%Draw
0.0%Caracas
0.0%8
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Caracas
1-1
Rosario
Pernia (25')
Rivas (17'), Perez (34'), Jimenez (79')
Rivas (17'), Perez (34'), Jimenez (79')
Modica (67')
Martinez (79'), Modica (90+3')
Martinez (79'), Modica (90+3')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 10:54:18
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
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vs.
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vs.
Belgium
8pm
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vs.
Turkey
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Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
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vs.
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8pm
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vs.
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Round of 16
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vs.
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vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
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vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
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Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
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5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
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vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
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vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
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Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
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Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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7
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9
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10
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