Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Jul 23, 2023 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa3 - 0Sarmiento
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Sarmiento.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-2 Defensa
Friday, July 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, July 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, July 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, July 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Sarmiento |
58.78% ( -0.27) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 16.26% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 40.01% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
