DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Elversberg0 - 1Mainz
Feil (70'), Neubauer (80')
Feil (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and Mainz 05.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elversberg 1-2 Hansa Rostock
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 5 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, August 5 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
39.62% ( 0.12) | 23.06% ( -0.04) | 37.32% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 65.11% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
