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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Schalke

RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Schalke

Laimer (10'), Nkunku (19', 90+4'), Poulsen (82')
Rose (21'), Haidara (41'), Nkunku (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kaminski (28'), Orban (49' og.)
Brunner (20'), Polter (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Leipzig are guaranteed to finish third regardless of their result against Schalke, Rose will still want his players to end their league campaign on a high ahead of taking on Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal final next weekend. Schalke have done well to stay alive heading into the final day of the season given their disastrous form earlier in the campaign, but we expect an instant return to the second tier to be confirmed with a defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
67.99% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08) 18.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 13.9% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.45% (0.1 0.1)36.55% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.3% (0.11 0.11)58.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (0.168 0.17)38.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (0.158 0.16)75.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.99%
    Schalke 04 13.9%
    Draw 18.11%
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 67.99%
1-1 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 13.9%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Schalke

RB Leipzig
73.5%
Draw
16.3%
Schalke 04
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Schalke
1-6
RB Leipzig
Kozuki (56')
Frey (79')
Silva (7', 44'), Henrichs (15'), Werner (45+2'), Olmo (83'), Poulsen (89')
Kampl (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 20
Schalke
0-3
RB Leipzig

Mascarell (27'), Kolasinac (69')
Mukiele (45+3'), Sabitzer (73'), Orban (87')
Sabitzer (82')
Oct 3, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
4-0
Schalke
Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Schalke
0-5
RB Leipzig

Raman (3'), Harit (43')
Sabitzer (1'), Werner (61'), Halstenberg (68'), Angelino (80'), Forsberg (89')
Laimer (5'), Werner (57'), Upamecano (78')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
1-3
Schalke
Forsberg (83')
Halstenberg (45')
Sane (29'), Harit (43' pen.), Matondo (58')
Caligiuri (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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