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Manchester City logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Watford logo

Man City
vs.
Watford

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Watford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 0-0 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Next Game: Man City vs. Arsenal
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Watford
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We say: Manchester City 2-0 Watford

Even with a full complement of changes and several young stars handed opportunities to impress, expect Man City's streak of scoring multiple goals in games against Watford to continue as the Citizens progress to round four. Cleverley's Hornets are low on morale right now and have been hit by two defensive injury blows at the worst time, so we cannot envisage the out-of-sorts visitors getting something against a makeshift City unit, albeit one still brimming with talent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw has a probability of 16.7% and a win for Watford has a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Watford win it is 1-2 (3.69%).

Result
Manchester CityDrawWatford
70.59% (0.267 0.27) 16.66% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 12.75% (-0.205 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.76% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)32.23% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.16% (-0.267 -0.27)53.84% (0.268 0.27)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.86%8.13% (0.001100000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.455 -0.45)37.44% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.45 -0.45)74.22% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 70.59%
    Watford 12.75%
    Draw 16.66%
Manchester CityDrawWatford
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.02% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 5.03% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.66%
1-2 @ 3.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 12.75%

Who will win Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Man City and Watford?

Manchester City
Watford
Manchester City
100%
Watford
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Man City
5-1
Watford
Jesus (4', 23', 49' pen., 53'), Rodri (34')
Cancelo (43')
Kamara (28')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
1-3
Man City
Camilo Hernandez (74')
King (7'), Rose (31'), Cathcart (85')
Sterling (4'), Silva (31', 63')
Jul 21, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
0-4
Man City

Mariappa (80'), Hughes (90+1')
Sterling (31', 40'), Foden (63'), Laporte (66')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
May 18, 2019 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Eagles
15-12
Saints
FT
Giants
21-15
Browns
FT
Broncos
26-7
Buccaneers
FT
Bears
16-21
Colts
FT
Eagles
15-12
Saints
FT
Chargers
10-20
Steelers
FT
Packers
30-14
Titans
FT
Texans
7-34
Vikings
9.05pm
Panthers
@
Raiders
9.05pm
Dolphins
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
Lions
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Ravens
@
Cowboys
9.25pm
49ers
@
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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