Man City2 - 1Watford
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Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Watford |
65.96% ( -4.63) | 18.72% ( 2.06) | 15.32% ( 2.57) |
Both teams to score 56.89% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |