Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
43.96% ( -0.43) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 31.27% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( 0.11) | 45.82% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( 0.11) | 68.14% ( -0.11) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( -0.15) | 20.91% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( -0.23) | 53.63% ( 0.22) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 0.33) | 27.74% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 0.42) | 63.31% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
> Championship Full Table |