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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Watford logo

Norwich
4 - 1
Watford

Doyle (3'), Sainz (45+3'), Nunez (54'), Chrisene (89')
Fisher (74'), Chrisene (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Andrews (26')
Jebbison (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

For different reasons, this will feel like a must-win match for either side even at this early stage of the season. Nevertheless, we feel that a low-scoring draw will play out in East Anglia, suiting Watford more so than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
43.96% (-0.43 -0.43) 24.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 31.27% (0.415 0.41)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.114 0.11)45.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (0.107 0.11)68.14% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)20.91% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (-0.228 -0.23)53.63% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.32899999999999 0.33)27.74% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (0.419 0.42)63.31% (-0.421 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.96%
    Watford 31.27%
    Draw 24.75%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Norwich vs Watford

Norwich City
43.1%
Draw
29.4%
Watford
27.5%
51
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
4-2
Watford
Barnes (20'), Sargent (28'), Sara (77'), Fassnacht (82')
Barnes (17'), Sargent (30'), Gibbs (88')
Rajovic (42'), Asprilla (71')
Martins (45+1'), Porteous (79')
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Watford
3-2
Norwich
Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
2-1
Norwich
Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Sargent (45')
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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