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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Watford logo

Norwich
4 - 1
Watford

Doyle (3'), Sainz (45+3'), Nunez (54'), Chrisene (89')
Fisher (74'), Chrisene (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Andrews (26')
Jebbison (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

For different reasons, this will feel like a must-win match for either side even at this early stage of the season. Nevertheless, we feel that a low-scoring draw will play out in East Anglia, suiting Watford more so than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
43.96% (-0.43 -0.43) 24.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 31.27% (0.415 0.41)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.114 0.11)45.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (0.107 0.11)68.14% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)20.91% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (-0.228 -0.23)53.63% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.32899999999999 0.33)27.74% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (0.419 0.42)63.31% (-0.421 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.96%
    Watford 31.27%
    Draw 24.75%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Norwich vs Watford

Norwich City
43.1%
Draw
29.4%
Watford
27.5%
51
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
4-2
Watford
Barnes (20'), Sargent (28'), Sara (77'), Fassnacht (82')
Barnes (17'), Sargent (30'), Gibbs (88')
Rajovic (42'), Asprilla (71')
Martins (45+1'), Porteous (79')
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Watford
3-2
Norwich
Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
2-1
Norwich
Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Sargent (45')
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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