MX23RW : Friday, November 22 04:00:46| >> :600:1144510:1144510:
Mansfield Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Derby logo

Mansfield
1 - 2
Derby

Hawkins (56')
Hewitt (10'), O'Toole (44')
Bowery (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hewitt (30' og.), Barkhuizen (69')
Wildsmith (51'), Oduroh (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mansfield Town 1-3 Derby County

Derby showed plenty of encouraging signs in their defeat to Charlton, and the introductions of young players in Sibley and Lewis Dobbin would only be a good thing for Rosenior. Mansfield could very well have been competing with the Rams in league action this term, but the gulf in quality should become evident here as Derby pick up a confidence-boosting success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawDerby County
48.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 25.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)75.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)22.15% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-0.055 -0.05)55.54% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.51% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 48.93%
    Derby County 25.15%
    Draw 25.91%
Mansfield TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Derby

Mansfield Town
23.5%
Derby County
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
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Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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