MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 00:58:30| >> :120:9335:9335:
Salford City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Moor Lane
Burnley logo

Salford City
0 - 4
Burnley


Olopade (44')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Berge (12'), Bruun Larsen (20'), O'Shea (27'), Odobert (81')
Rodriguez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Salford City 0-2 Burnley

Burnley defeated Nottingham Forest away from home to reach this stage of the competition, and they ply their trade three divisions higher than Salford City. Given the fact that Salford have also been in very poor form, the Clarets should be able to pick up a fairly comfortable victory on Tuesday night.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawBurnley
28.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 46.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.44% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23%30.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.012 0.01)21.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 28.8%
    Burnley 46.12%
    Draw 25.08%
Salford CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.8%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.12%

How you voted: Salford City vs Burnley

Salford City
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Burnley
81.8%
55
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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