Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
43.66% ( 0.01) | 23.75% ( -0) | 32.59% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 61.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.38% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37% ( 0.02) | 63% ( -0.03) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.01) | 18.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.61% ( 0.02) | 50.39% ( -0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% ( 0.01) | 58.81% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |