MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 09:47:49| >> :600:1154448:1154448:
Newport County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 1
West Ham U21s


Waite (48'), Payne (82'), Bogle (90+6'), Bondswell (90+8'), Evans (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kadua (62')
Clayton (90+6'), Robinson (90+9'), Orford (90+9')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and West Ham United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

West Ham United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: West Ham U21s 5-0 Boro U21s
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a West Ham United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
61.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 19.5% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.35% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 62.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.47%32.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.82%54.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)10.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
West Ham United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 61.15%
    West Ham United Under-21s 19.35%
    Draw 19.5%
Newport CountyDrawWest Ham United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.01%
3-0 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.39%
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.86%
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 61.15%
1-1 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.09%
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.5%
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 19.35%

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