Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Feyenoord
This promises to be a closely contested fixture between two of the strongest teams in the division, which should lead to an entertaining game for neutrals.
While it could go either way when it comes to the quality of both teams, the recent poor form of AZ Alkmaar will likely tip it in favour of the visitors.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.47% . A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.8%) . The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result AZ Alkmaar Draw Feyenoord 35.02% ( -0.38) 23.51% ( 0.15) 41.47% ( 0.23)
Both teams to score 63% ( -0.66)
61.26% ( -0.83) 38.74% ( 0.83)
38.95% ( -0.88) 61.05% ( 0.89)
77.84% ( -0.58) 22.16% ( 0.58)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.45% ( -0.88) 55.55% ( 0.88)
80.93% ( -0.25) 19.07% ( 0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.34% ( -0.41) 50.66% ( 0.42)
AZ Alkmaar 35.02%
Feyenoord 41.47%
Draw 23.51%
AZ Alkmaar Draw Feyenoord 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.02% 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51% 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.47%
How you voted: AZ vs Feyenoord
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rhs 2.0
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