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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.26% ( -0.34) | 20.52% ( -0.02) | 60.22% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 58.86% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.32% ( -0.44) | 37.68% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.08% ( -0.47) | 59.91% ( 0.47) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% ( -0.6) | 32.98% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% ( -0.67) | 69.56% ( 0.67) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.83% ( -0.03) | 12.17% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.19% ( -0.07) | 37.81% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.26% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.07% Total : 60.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |