MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:00:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PEC Zwolle

AZ
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Pavlidis (77' pen.), Mijnans (90+4')
Clasie (47'), Belic (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (57'), Velanas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect Saturday's encounter to follow suit. That said, AZ are huge favourites to come out on top, and we fully back the home side to live up to expectations and run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
70.17% (0.184 0.18) 16.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 13.36% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)29.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.3% (-0.125 -0.13)50.7% (0.127 0.13)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)34.75% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.272 -0.27)71.48% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.17%
    PEC Zwolle 13.36%
    Draw 16.46%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.46%
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.36%

How you voted: AZ vs PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
PEC Zwolle
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
0-3
AZ

Namli (23'), van den Berg (26'), Druijf (40')
Lahdo (13'), Van Brederode (52'), Pavlidis (90')
Moller Wolfe (63'), van Brederode (75'), Kasius (82')
Apr 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
2-1
AZ
Kastaneer (51'), Redan (86')
Pavlidis (81')
Wijndal (89')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
3-2
PEC Zwolle
De Wit (14'), Pavlidis (38', 52')
Midtsjo (39'), Sugawara (65')
De Wit (5', 13')
De Wit (55'), Langeler (55'), Huiberts (59'), van Polen (83')
Jan 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-1
AZ
Clement (9')
Kersten (80')
Midtsjo (67')
Sep 19, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Boadu (68')
Stengs (17')
Leemans (38')
van Duinen (9'), Huiberts (40'), van Polen (71'), Lam (74'), Nakayama (90+5')
Lam (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!