Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 20, 2024 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Pavlidis (77' pen.), Mijnans (90+4')
Clasie (47'), Belic (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thy (57'), Velanas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-3 Quick Boys (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect Saturday's encounter to follow suit. That said, AZ are huge favourites to come out on top, and we fully back the home side to live up to expectations and run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PEC Zwolle
70.17% ( 0.18)	16.46% ( -0.05)	13.36% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 60.31% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.4% (

-0.1)

29.59% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.3% (

-0.13)

50.7% (

0.13)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.43% (

0.01)

7.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.9% (

0.03)

27.09% (

-0.03)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

-0.26)

34.75% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

-0.27)

71.48% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 70.17%

PEC Zwolle 13.36%

Draw 16.46%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.17%	1-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.46%	1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 13.36%