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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.49%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-3 (7.33%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.27% ( -1.87) | 19.24% ( -0.76) | 61.49% ( 2.63) |
Both teams to score 63.73% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.59% ( 0.9) | 31.41% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.13% ( 1.06) | 52.87% ( -1.06) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.77% ( -1.14) | 29.23% ( 1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.82% ( -1.43) | 65.18% ( 1.43) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.04% ( 0.93) | 9.96% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.07% ( 2.1) | 32.93% ( -2.1) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.02% Total : 19.27% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.24% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 7.33% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.22% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.35) 2-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.21) 0-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.22) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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