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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.89%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 4-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
84.89% ( -0.05) | 9.84% ( 0.02) | 5.27% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.6% ( -0.03) | 23.39% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.21% ( -0.03) | 42.79% ( 0.03) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.19% ( -0.01) | 3.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.75% ( -0.04) | 16.24% ( 0.03) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.24% ( 0.05) | 46.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.7% ( 0.04) | 82.3% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 6-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.65% Total : 84.88% | 1-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 9.84% | 1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 5.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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