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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
60.61% ( -1.94) | 20.55% ( 0.71) | 18.83% ( 1.21) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( -1.32) | 38.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.19% ( -1.41) | 60.8% ( 1.4) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( -0.93) | 12.32% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% ( -1.98) | 38.12% ( 1.98) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.51) | 33.91% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( 0.55) | 70.58% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.61% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.98% Total : 18.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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