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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
60.61% ( -1.94) | 20.55% ( 0.71) | 18.83% ( 1.21) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( -1.32) | 38.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.19% ( -1.41) | 60.8% ( 1.4) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( -0.93) | 12.32% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% ( -1.98) | 38.12% ( 1.98) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.51) | 33.91% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( 0.55) | 70.58% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.61% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.98% Total : 18.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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