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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
33.81% ( 0.34) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 41.21% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% ( 0.18) | 45.96% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.73% ( 0.17) | 68.27% ( -0.18) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.29) | 26.22% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( 0.39) | 61.32% ( -0.4) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -0.07) | 22.25% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( -0.11) | 55.69% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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