Following a very poor lead-up to the international break, Heracles got a much-needed victory last time out and will be hoping that was the turning point of the campaign for them. They face a much tougher opponent here, though, and while Sparta should dominate the possession in the match, we feel that these sides will end level at the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.