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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
22.41% ( 0) | 21.83% ( 0) | 55.76% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.24% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.54% ( -0) | 39.46% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% ( -0) | 61.81% ( 0) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( 0) | 31.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( 0) | 67.37% ( -0) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0) | 14.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.33% ( -0) | 41.67% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |