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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Excelsior

PSV
4 - 0
Excelsior

de Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagre (56'), Horemans (66'), Ayoub (69'), Baas (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 SBV Excelsior

PSV are averaging over three goals per game on home turf this term, and we can see them putting on another superb attacking display en route to a routine victory come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
89.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 7.14% (0.075 0.08) 3.2% (0.072 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.67% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.16% (0.062000000000012 0.06)19.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.14% (0.088999999999999 0.09)37.85% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)2.62% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)12.18% (0.035 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.452 0.45)52.06% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.293 0.29)86.05% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 89.65%
    SBV Excelsior 3.2%
    Draw 7.14%
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
3-0 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 10% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 7.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 4.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.043 0.04)
7-0 @ 2.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
7-1 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
8-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 89.65%
1-1 @ 3.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 7.14%
1-2 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.2%

How you voted: PSV vs Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
PSV
1-0
Excelsior
Lozano (17')
Brenet (69'), Bergwijn (76')

Fortes (42'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (82')
Nov 26, 2017 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
PSV
Koolwijk (52')
Mattheij (62'), Fortes (86')
Mattheij (13' og.), Lozano (41')
Isimat-Mirin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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