Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
0 - 0
Excelsior

van Ginkel (41'), Bero (53')

Agrafiotis (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-4 Vitesse
Sunday, April 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Vitesse 2-0 SBV Excelsior

With a chance to effectively guarantee their top-flight status for next season, Vitesse will need no further incentive for this weekend's clash. The home side have turned a corner in recent weeks and we are backing them to carry the day in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	SBV Excelsior
64.4% ( -0.88)	20.67% ( 0.4)	14.94% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.91% (

-0.75)

46.09% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.61% (

-0.71)

68.39% (

0.72)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

-0.49)

13.58% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.31% (

-1)

40.69% (

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.81% (

0.23)

43.19% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.55% (

0.19)

79.45% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 64.4%

SBV Excelsior 14.94%

Draw 20.67%

Vitesse	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.76% Total : 64.4%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.67%	0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.94%