Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
