We said: Willem II 0-2 Ajax
Willem II have failed to win any of their last 11 league games, while Ajax are unbeaten in 13, including 12 wins and one draw. The visitors have also won each of their last six away games without conceding a single goal. Given these sides' records of late, this looks like it should be a straightforward victory for the league leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
16.68% ( -0.07) | 20.03% ( -0.03) | 63.28% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.01) | 39.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.01) | 62.2% ( -0.01) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.07) | 37.11% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.1% ( -0.08) | 73.9% ( 0.08) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.01% ( 0.03) | 11.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.59% ( 0.07) | 37.41% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 16.68%
Ajax 63.28%
Draw 20.03%
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 16.68% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.03% | 0-2 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.84% 0-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 63.28% |
How you voted: Willem II vs Ajax
Willem II
0.0%Draw
0.0%Ajax
100%6
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 3.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 5.45pm
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
