Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma5 - 1CSKA Sofia
FT(HT: 2-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 6.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 24.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (19.55%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
| 71.19% | 22.77% | 6.03% |
| Both teams to score 19.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
