UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 0
Bodo/Glimt

(Roma win 5-2 on aggregate)

Abraham (5'), Zaniolo (23', 29', 49')
Mancini (54')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

We said: Roma 2-1 Bodo/Glimt (Roma win on penalties)

This four-part epic battle between two unlikely opponents will conclude on Italian soil, which gives the hosts a slight edge in this second leg. Up against well-organised visitors with nothing to lose, the Giallorossi are set to come under intense pressure, but possessing sufficient firepower to score twice, they should take the tie into extra time and even penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
56.02%	25.26%	18.72%

Both teams to score 43.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13%

57.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41%

78.58%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31%

20.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72%

53.28%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.61%

45.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.76%

81.24%

Score Analysis

Roma 56.02%

Bodo/Glimt 18.72%

Draw 25.25%

Roma	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 4.84% 4-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.02%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.72%