UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
Roma

(Roma win 5-2 on aggregate)

Saltnes (56'), Vetlesen (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegrini (43')
Cristante (18'), Vina (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Bitter experience will tell Roma that they should avoid taking progress for granted against Glimt, but their improved defensive resilience and a settled side now puts them in better shape to succeed. While the hosts will surely find the net at some point, the Giallorossi can make their greater continental experience pay at this later stage of Europe's newest club competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Roma
45.36%	23.88%	30.76%

Both teams to score 59.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95%

42.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54%

64.45%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23%

18.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83%

50.16%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79%

26.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69%

61.3%

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 45.36%

Roma 30.76%

Draw 23.87%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.36%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 7.38% 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.76%