MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:59:07| >> :120:7203:7203:
Molde logo
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 2
Legia

Gulbrandsen (12', 19'), Andre Kaasa (24')
Eriksen (58'), Hagelskjaer (70'), Hestad (82'), Linnes (90'), Odegard (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pesqueira (63'), Augustyniak (71')
Elitim (85'), Pesqueira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Molde and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Molde 0-1 Legia Warsaw

Molde's rustiness may be a problem having not played a competitive fixture in almost two months, while the departure of two of their top scorers from last season will leave a gaping hole in attack. Legia have only recently returned to action and are depleted following the January window themselves, but showed good form in the group stage to finish just one point behind Aston Villa, and a win on their return at the weekend will do them the world of good. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawLegia Warsaw
50.2%22.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 61.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)38.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)61.19% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 50.2%
    Legia Warsaw 27.09%
    Draw 22.7%
MoldeDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.58%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Molde vs Legia

Molde
41.0%
Draw
21.0%
Legia Warsaw
38.1%
105
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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