Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Real Sociedad1 - 3RB Leipzig
We said: Real Sociedad 1-3 RB Leipzig (Leipzig win 5-3 on aggregate)
Leipzig have been in free-scoring mode all season long, and that is unlikely to change against a Sociedad side whom they already have goalscoring experience against and who were humbled by Athletic at the weekend. With nearly a fully-fit squad to select from and morale at its highest point, we cannot see any other result than a safe passage into the last-16 stage for Tedesco's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | RB Leipzig |
42.58% | 28.14% | 29.28% |
Both teams to score 45.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.03% | 59.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.78% | 80.22% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.47% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% | 36.48% |