MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 17:16:40| >> :600:2757474:2757474:
Austria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Sweden national football team

Austria
2 - 0
Sweden

Baumgartner (81', 89')
Posch (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Austria and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 4-1 New Zealand
Friday, June 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 2-2 Sweden

Both of these teams have been scoring and conceding plenty of goals lately, so we can envisage an entertaining encounter in Vienna. Sweden will know that a defeat could potentially be fatal in terms of their hopes of qualifying for next summer's European Championship, but we believe they have enough about them to avoid defeat, with a share of the spoils potentially suiting both managers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawSweden
55.19% (11.261 11.26) 23.42% (1.713 1.71) 21.39% (-12.973 -12.97)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-17.31 -17.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-17.921 -17.92)47.76% (17.924 17.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-18.954 -18.95)69.95% (18.957 18.96)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-2.662 -2.66)17.16% (2.666 2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (-4.911 -4.91)47.41% (4.915 4.92)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-18.27 -18.27)36.65% (18.272 18.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-23.925 -23.93)73.44% (23.928 23.93)
Score Analysis
    Austria 55.18%
    Sweden 21.39%
    Draw 23.41%
AustriaDrawSweden
1-0 @ 11.08% (5.934 5.93)
2-1 @ 9.81% (1.389 1.39)
2-0 @ 9.77% (4.801 4.8)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.343 0.34)
3-0 @ 5.74% (2.541 2.54)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-1.698 -1.7)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.985 0.99)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.942 -0.94)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 11.12% (2.403 2.4)
0-0 @ 6.29% (3.626 3.63)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-2.208 -2.21)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-1.624 -1.62)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (1.801 1.8)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-1.799 -1.8)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.655 -0.66)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-2.3 -2.3)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-2.379 -2.38)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-1.098 -1.1)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.39%

How you voted: Austria vs Sweden

Austria
51.7%
Draw
31.9%
Sweden
16.4%
116
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Austria
2-0
Sweden
Helander (11' og.), Alaba (64')
Arnautovic (45')
Sep 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Sweden
1-4
Austria
Alaba (9' pen.), Harnik (38', 88'), Janko (76')
Junuzovic (24'), Janko (30'), Ilsanker (91')
Sep 8, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Austria
1-1
Sweden
Alaba (7' pen.)
Dragovic (74')
Zengin (12')
Ibrahimovic (22'), Larsson (59'), Kallstrom (80')
Jun 7, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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