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Luxembourg national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Iceland national football team

Luxembourg
3 - 1
Iceland

Chanot (9' pen.), Borges Sanches (70'), Sinani (89')
Mahmutovic (13'), Martins Pereira (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Luxembourg vs. Iceland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With the chance to move into the top two of Euro 2024 qualifying Group J, Luxembourg do battle with Iceland at the Stade de Luxembourg on Friday evening.

The hosts occupy third place in the section with seven points to their name, while Our Boys are two spots and four points worse off following an underwhelming start.


Match preview

Luxembourg coach Luc Holtz on June 20, 2023© Reuters

Seeking to keep the momentum going from another respectable campaign in the third tier of the Nations League, Luxembourg held out for a goalless draw against Slovakia in their opening Euro 2024 qualifier before being hit for six without reply against a merciless Portugal crop.

The Red Lions' summer schedule also got off to a miserable beginning with a 1-0 friendly loss to Malta, but Luc Holtz's men dusted themselves down for their third and fourth European qualifiers versus Liechtenstein and Bosnia-Herzegovina, claiming a pair of 2-0 wins to belatedly kickstart their top-two quest.

Yvandro Borges Sanches and Danel Sinani struck either side of the half-time whistle against Bosnia, seeing Luxembourg cement their third-placed ranking in the standings, and second place will be theirs at the close of play on Friday should a specific set of circumstances come about.

With three points separating them from Slovakia, Luxembourg must pray for Portugal - their upcoming opponents on September 11 - to beat the Falcons while they get the job done against Iceland, and there also needs to be a seven-goal swing in their favour.

Such a scenario may be quite far-fetched, but Luxembourg are certainly making a case to qualify for the finals of the European Championships for the very first time - a feat which their Friday foes managed only seven years ago.

Iceland's Birkir Bjarnason and teammates celebrate after the match on September 27, 2022© Reuters

Still reliving their magical run to the quarter-finals in 2016, Iceland laid down an early marker with a 7-0 mauling of 200th-ranked Liechtenstein six months ago, although they had already succumbed to a 3-0 defeat to Bosnia on the opening matchday.

Our Boys' fortunes took a turn for the worse when international football resumed in June too, as they were bested 2-1 at home to Slovakia before 89 minutes of hard work against Portugal was undone by Cristiano Ronaldo, whose 123rd Selecao goal sunk Age Hareide's troops.

While unsurprisingly seeing little of the ball, Iceland's rearguard resilience seemed set to win out against Portugal before Willum Thor Willumsson's 80th-minute dismissal made their task considerably harder, and they enter September only sat above a pointless and goalless Liechtenstein in Group J.

Preparing for a potentially daunting trip to Luxembourg, one small slice of solace for Iceland is the fact that each of their last five victories have come away from home, although that does not bode particularly well for Hareide's side ahead of Bosnia's Nordic stopover next week.

On a brighter note, Iceland have gone seven games unbeaten against Luxembourg since the sides first locked horns in 1976 - winning four and drawing three such affairs - although the Red Dragons came from behind to salvage a 1-1 draw in their most recent friendly 14 years ago.

Luxembourg Euro Champ Qualifying form:


Luxembourg form (all competitions):


Iceland Euro Champ Qualifying form:


Iceland form (all competitions):



Team News

Luxembourg players celebrate after the match on June 20, 2023© Reuters

Luxembourg have already been hit with an attacking setback heading into September's fixtures, as 18-year-old Hannover striker Jayson Videira has been forced to withdraw from the squad due to injury, while 16-goal Dynamo Kyiv man Gerson Rodrigues is absent too.

Rodrigues only needs to make the net ripple once more to become Luxembourg's all-time leading goalscorer - leaving wartime hero Leon Mart in his wake - but for the time being, Sinani and Sanches will shoulder the offensive burden.

Captain Laurent Jans will expect to make his 96th appearance for Luxembourg on the right-hand side of the backline, while Sebastien Thill - who made history by scoring against Real Madrid and Inter Milan in the 2021-22 Champions League - is back in the fold after missing June's round of fixtures.

Meanwhile, Iceland will be forced into an offensive rejig of their own due to Willumsson's suspension, although the Go Ahead Eagles winger has nevertheless been called up to the squad for next Monday's meeting with Bosnia.

In his place, 20-year-old Hakon Arnar Haraldsson - who earned a marquee move to Ligue 1 giants Lille this summer - could be brought in out wide, while captain Aron Gunnarsson and second-in-command Birkir Bjarnason are notable absentees alongside Blackburn Rovers midfielder Arnor Sigurdsson.

In addition, Midtjylland defender Sverrir Ingi Ingason has been forced to drop out owing to an injury, while Genoa striker Albert Gudmundsson will not take part this month either, but Alfred Finnbogason remains a recognisable presence up top.


Luxembourg possible starting lineup:
Moris; Jans, Mahmutovic, Chanot, Bohnert; Olesen, Martins Pereira, Barreiro; Sinani, Curci, Borges Sanches

Iceland possible starting lineup:
Runarsson; Sampsted, Palsson, Hermannsson, Magnusson; Haraldsson, Gudmundsson, Traustason, Thorsteinsson; Finnbogason, Oskarsson


SM words green background

We say: Luxembourg 1-0 Iceland

Barring their six-goal thumping at the hands of Portugal, Luxembourg have kept three clean sheets from their other three Euro 2024 qualifying matches so far and ought to feel optimistic about their chances of shutting out a depleted Iceland crop.

Despite their recent knack for getting results on the road, Hareide's side may fall just short on Friday, as Luxembourg move onto a double-figure points total at the halfway mark.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Game History

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Iceland

Luxembourg
48.2%
Draw
24.1%
Iceland
27.7%
83
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain870121
Q Scotland flag Scotland852117
3 Norway Norway832311
4 Georgia Georgia82248
5 Cyprus Cyprus80080

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France871022
Q Netherlands Netherlands860218
3 Greece Greece841313
4 Ireland Rep. Ireland82066
5 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar80080

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England862020
Q Italy Italy842214
3 Ukraine Ukraine842214
4 Macedonia N. Macedonia82248
5 Malta flag Malta80080

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Turkey Turkey852117
Q Croatia Croatia851216
3 Wales flag Wales833212
4 Armenia Armenia82248
5 Latvia Latvia81073

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Albania national flag Albania843115
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic843115
3 Poland Poland832311
4 Republic of Moldova Moldova824210
5 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands80262

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Belgium Belgium862020
Q Austria Austria861119
3 Sweden Sweden831410
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan82157
5 Estonia Estonia80171

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Hungary Hungary853018
Q Serbia Serbia842214
3 Montenegro Montenegro832311
4 Lithuania Lithuania81346
5 Bulgaria Bulgaria80444

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Denmark Denmark1071222
Q Slovenia Slovenia1071222
3 Finland Finland1060418
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan1060418
5 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland103079
6 San Marino flag San Marino1000100

Group I

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania1064022
Q Switzerland Switzerland1045117
3 Israel Israel1043315
4 Belarus Belarus1033412
5 Kosovo flag Kosovo1025311
6 Andorra flag Andorra100282

Group J

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal10100030
Q Slovakia Slovakia1071222
3 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg1052317
4 Iceland Iceland1031610
5 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina103079
6 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein1000100


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