Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
N. Macedonia1 - 1England
The Match
Match Report
England's Euro 2024 qualifying campaign ends with a 1-1 draw against North Macedonia as the Three Lions seal a place in Pot 1 for the group-stage draw.
Team News
Rico Lewis makes his England debut in their Euro 2024 qualifier against North Macedonia, while Ollie Watkins starts up front in place of Harry Kane.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how England could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualification clash with North Macedonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Italy 5-2 N. Macedonia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 7 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Italy | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | England |
19.89% ( -1.12) | 23.7% ( -0.19) | 56.41% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
